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Wednesday, December 12, 2012
For the corn market, the bullish/bearish information has caused large swings in price.
For the corn market, the bullish/bearish
information has caused large swings in price. For example, a slow export
pace is bearish. Last week’s large sales were considered bullish. (FYI,
the pendulum swung back to bearish this week.) Ethanol production is
really close to the USDA’s number, but the fact that ethanol plants have
poor margins is probably bearish. Feed use could go either way, but
there is no concrete data until the January reports.Futures
drifted lower following disappointing weekly export sales. Net sales
for the current marketing year were only 9.3 million bushels. Trade
estimates were about 20 million bushels. After sales of 30 million
bushels the previous week, expectations for exports have ramped up. The
outside markets were stronger which provided underlying support for
corn. More rain fell overnight in central Argentina and forecasts for
the next week look too wet for corn planting to move ahead. First notice
day for December corn futures is Friday. No deliveries are expected.
December corn was 8 3/4 cents lower at $7.51. March was 5 1/4 cents
lower at $7.58 3/4.
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